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Overview
Overview
Climate science is rife with contexts where there are varying levels and types of uncertainty. One can see the presence of these interesting contexts of high empirical uncertainty in extreme hydroclimatic events, such as floods and droughts, or in contexts where deep uncertainty is present, such climate tipping points and geoengineering. Recognizing the presence of this uncertainty then sets the backdrop for much of my research, where I investigate a number of issues related to uncertainty in these contexts. This work can be placed into three general categories:
(1) I investigate questions related to the underlying structures which facilitate the representation of uncertainty as a probability, generally within a Bayesian framework. Here, I disentangle the variety and levels of uncertainty, applying these discussions to uncertain climate science contexts, including extreme events, climate tipping points, and geoengineering.
(2) Experts are often tasked with both quantifying uncertainty and overcoming uncertainty through their judgments. I investigate expertise and how experts produce their judgments and make decisions. This includes discussing the subjective aspects of these judgments, such as their value-ladenness, as well as evaluating and designing expert elicitation protocols.
(3) The choices made by scientists during their decision-making have additional justice concerns. I investigate the normative (or ethical) impacts of choices made in the design and utilization of new methods, such as the rise of machine learning in climate modeling, as well as in the design and local implementation of climate change adaptation strategies.
To facilitate this work I have been awarded a research grant from the Swiss National Science foundation (outlined below). I am always open to discussing ideas, whether informally or through a research collaboration.
Research Grants Received
Research Grants Received
As the Principle Investigator, I was awarded a Swiss National Science Foundation Grant to investigate risk and the representation of uncertainty for decision-making around hydroclimatic events, such as flooding. I conduct this research at New York University (NYU), under the supervision of Prof. Omar Wani in the Tandon School of Engineering and Prof. Michael Strevens in the Department of Philosophy.
For more information on the project please see the full overview here.
Recent Workshops
Recent Workshops
Opening up Earth Observations for Climate Adaptation
Opening up Earth Observations for Climate Adaptation
High-impact climate events, tipping points, and irreversible regional impacts assessment writing meeting
High-impact climate events, tipping points, and irreversible regional impacts assessment writing meeting
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