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Overview
Overview
Within the scope of science, many decisions must be made where varying levels and types of uncertainty are present. Climate science is no different. One can see high empirical uncertainty present in extreme hydroclimatic contexts, including flood and drought events, or deep uncertainty in contexts such as climate tipping points, geoengineering, and the use of artificial inteligence (AI). Recognizing the presence of these uncertainties sets the backdrop for much of my research, where I investigate a number of issues related to uncertainty. This work can be placed into three general questions:
(1) How should uncertainty be represented? I investigate questions related to the underlying structures which facilitate the representation of uncertainty as a probability, generally within a Bayesian framework. Here, I disentangle the variety and levels of uncertainty, applying these discussions to uncertain climate science contexts, including extreme events, climate tipping points, and geoengineering.
(2) How do experts produce their judgments? Experts are often tasked with both quantifying uncertainty and overcoming uncertainty through their judgments. I investigate how experts produce their judgments and make decisions. This involves discussing the subjective aspects of these judgments, including and going beyond their value-ladenness, as well as evaluating and designing expert elicitation protocols.
(3) What are the impacts of these decisions? The choices made by scientists during their decision-making have additional justice concerns. I investigate the normative (or ethical) impacts of choices made in the design and utilization of new methods, such as the rise of machine learning in climate modeling, as well as in the design and local implementation of climate change adaptation strategies.
I am always open to discussing ideas, whether informally or through a research collaboration.
Affiliated Research Groups
Affiliated Research Groups
A research group, directed by Prof. Alisa Bokulich at Boston University, dedicated to exploring topics in the philosophy of the geosciences (historical and current Earth sciences), broadly understood.
A research group, directed by Prof. Omar Wani at New York University, studying the dynamics of water and the emergent hydroclimatic risk in various built and natural environments.
Recent Workshops
Recent Workshops
Opening up Earth Observations for Climate Adaptation
Opening up Earth Observations for Climate Adaptation
High-impact climate events, tipping points, and irreversible regional impacts assessment writing meeting
High-impact climate events, tipping points, and irreversible regional impacts assessment writing meeting
Research Grants Received
Research Grants Received
As the Principal Investigator, I was awarded a Swiss National Science Foundation Grant to investigate risk and the representation of uncertainty for decision-making around hydroclimatic events, such as flooding. I conduct this research at New York University (NYU), under the supervision of Prof. Omar Wani in the Tandon School of Engineering and Prof. Michael Strevens in the Department of Philosophy.
For more information on the project please see the full overview here.
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